Prediction Markets

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    "provider_type_methodology_published_at": "2026-07-31",
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                "monthly_usd": null
              },
              {
                "provider": "ticktape",
                "tier": "individual",
                "billing": "usage",
                "unit": "per_call",
                "price": "$0.02 per call",
                "monthly_usd": null
              },
              {
                "provider": "ticktape",
                "tier": "individual",
                "billing": "usage",
                "unit": "per_call",
                "price": "$0.02 per call",
                "monthly_usd": null
              },
              {
                "provider": "ticktape",
                "tier": "individual",
                "billing": "usage",
                "unit": "per_call",
                "price": "$0.02 per call",
                "monthly_usd": null
              },
              {
                "provider": "ticktape",
                "tier": "individual",
                "billing": "usage",
                "unit": "per_call",
                "price": "$0.10 per call",
                "monthly_usd": null
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "billing": "unspecified_period",
            "unit": "flat",
            "count": 5,
            "offers": [
              {
                "provider": "nephyr_backtest",
                "tier": "enterprise",
                "billing": "unspecified_period",
                "unit": "flat",
                "price": "Contact us",
                "monthly_usd": null
              },
              {
                "provider": "nephyr_risk",
                "tier": "enterprise",
                "billing": "unspecified_period",
                "unit": "flat",
                "price": "Contact us",
                "monthly_usd": null
              },
              {
                "provider": "nephyr_weather",
                "tier": "enterprise",
                "billing": "unspecified_period",
                "unit": "flat",
                "price": "Contact us",
                "monthly_usd": null
              },
              {
                "provider": "octagon_ai",
                "tier": "enterprise",
                "billing": "unspecified_period",
                "unit": "flat",
                "price": "Custom",
                "monthly_usd": null
              },
              {
                "provider": "polymarket_mcp",
                "tier": "enterprise",
                "billing": "unspecified_period",
                "unit": "flat",
                "price": "Contact us",
                "monthly_usd": null
              }
            ]
          }
        ],
        "coverage": {
          "priced_providers": 14,
          "normalized_observations": 18,
          "comparable_providers": 11,
          "strict_cohorts": 3,
          "exclusion_reasons": {
            "ambiguous_cadence": 5,
            "usage_not_monthly": 26,
            "one_time": 6,
            "free_or_zero": 4
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "billingMix": {
      "freemium": 11,
      "free": 3,
      "subscription": 1,
      "usage": 2,
      "one-time": 1
    },
    "freeTierShare": 0.78,
    "medianLowestUsd": 10
  },
  "movement": {
    "niche": "prediction-markets",
    "sector": "financial-services",
    "pricedNow": 13,
    "pairs": 12,
    "repriced": [
      {
        "handle": "licium",
        "from": 50,
        "to": 10,
        "pct": -80
      },
      {
        "handle": "quant",
        "from": 12.5,
        "to": 14.99,
        "pct": 19.9
      }
    ],
    "newlyPriced": [
      "prediction_markets"
    ],
    "droppedFromPriced": [],
    "likeForLikePct": -11.2,
    "kind": "mixed",
    "narrative": "Repricing + composition: 2 agents repriced — 1 up, 1 down; 1 newly published pricing."
  },
  "index_series": {
    "series": [
      {
        "day": "2026-07-20",
        "index": 100,
        "pairs": 9,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-21",
        "index": 100,
        "pairs": 8,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-22",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 8,
        "dayChangePct": 2.28
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-23",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 8,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-24",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 8,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-25",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 7,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-26",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 7,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-27",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 7,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-28",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 7,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-29",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 6,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-30",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 6,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-07-31",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 6,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-01",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 5,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-02",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 7,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-03",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 9,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-04",
        "index": 102.282,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-05",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": -5.11
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-06",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-07",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-08",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-09",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-10",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-11",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-12",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-13",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 10,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-14",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 13,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-15",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 13,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-16",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 15,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-17",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 15,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      },
      {
        "day": "2026-08-18",
        "index": 97.056,
        "pairs": 15,
        "dayChangePct": 0
      }
    ],
    "latest": 97.056,
    "day_change_pct": 0,
    "methodology": "Chained daily price index, base 100 on the first priced scan day (29 Jun 2026). The overall index is the COMPOSITE of the four buyer-tier indices (individual / pro / team&sme / enterprise): each day it moves by the equal-weighted average of the tiers' moves. Each tier index is like-for-like — only agents priced on both consecutive scan days (per-agent ratios, geometric mean, clipped to [0.2, 5]) — so composition changes (agents revealing or hiding prices) can never move it."
  },
  "top_agents": [
    {
      "agent_id": "musashi",
      "name": "musashi",
      "url": "https://musashi.bot/",
      "short_summary": "provides AI intelligence service for automated prediction market trading by analyzing tweets and generating trading signals",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "free",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": null,
        "monthly_usd": null,
        "headline": "Free",
        "summary": "Musashi is currently available for free with no account required, while paid features may be introduced in the future."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "high",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "nexus_intelligence",
      "name": "Nexus Intelligence",
      "url": "https://nexus-agent-xa12.onrender.com/",
      "short_summary": "Provides live prediction market data and signals (Kalshi + Polymarket odds, cross-venue arbitrage spreads, oracle signals, sentiment, consensus) for assets lik…",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "usage",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": null,
        "monthly_usd": null,
        "headline": "Paid (price not published)",
        "summary": "NEXUS AI Agent publishes per-endpoint usage rates ranging from $0.001 to $0.15 USDC, alongside explicitly free endpoints."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "high",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "parlay",
      "name": "Parlay",
      "url": "https://parlay.run",
      "short_summary": "aggregates and compares prediction markets across multiple venues",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "freemium",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": 29,
        "monthly_usd": 29,
        "headline": "Free tier, then from $29/mo",
        "summary": "Free tier, then from $29/mo. Parlay offers a permanent free tier with 15 monthly calls and a Pro plan currently listed at $29/month with 150 calls and all six tools."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "high",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "rekko_mcp",
      "name": "Rekko AI",
      "url": "https://rekko.ai",
      "short_summary": "Provides prediction market intelligence including trading signals, arbitrage detection, market analysis, and portfolio tracking across multiple prediction mark…",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "freemium",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": 49,
        "monthly_usd": 49,
        "headline": "Free tier, then from $49/mo",
        "summary": "Free tier, then from $49/mo. Rekko offers free access, usage-based API calls from $0.01 to $5.00 per call, and a $49/mo Pro plan with volume discounts."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "high",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "bet_checker",
      "name": "Bet Checker",
      "url": "https://negativeev.com",
      "short_summary": "Grade any MLB or WNBA bet against thousands of play-by-play game simulations — true win probability, implied probability, and edge for every leg.\n\nPrices come…",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "freemium",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": null,
        "monthly_usd": null,
        "headline": "Free tier + paid plans (price not published)",
        "summary": "NegativeEV offers 10 free bet checks per day, while signing in provides unlimited checks subject to a per-hour pace cap; no paid price is publicly listed."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "medium",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "criswu20010728_mantis",
      "name": "mantis",
      "url": "https://mantiss.store",
      "short_summary": "compares prediction market odds across multiple venues and provides cross-venue arbitrage opportunities",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "freemium",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": 29,
        "monthly_usd": 29,
        "headline": "Free tier, then from $29/mo",
        "summary": "Free tier, then from $29/mo. Mantis offers a free tier with 100 daily API requests, plus monthly Starter and Pro subscriptions at $29 and $199."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "medium",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "dino_markets",
      "name": "Dino Markets",
      "url": "https://dino.markets/",
      "short_summary": "Real-time cross-venue sports prediction-market data — matches the same games across Kalshi and Polymarket, computes live arbitrage with confidence bands, and s…",
      "price": {
        "observed": false,
        "billing": "not_found",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": null,
        "monthly_usd": null,
        "headline": "No public price found",
        "summary": "No public price found on the vendor site."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "medium",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "foresea",
      "name": "Foresea",
      "url": "https://foresea.ink",
      "short_summary": "turns prediction markets into tradeable signals by generating calibrated probability forecasts with supporting evidence and rationale",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "free",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": null,
        "monthly_usd": null,
        "headline": "Free",
        "summary": "The homepage contains a JSON-LD offer priced at 0USD, but provides no visible billing period or plan details."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "medium",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "polystrike",
      "name": "Polystrike",
      "url": "https://polystrike.xyz",
      "short_summary": "Live Elon Musk & Ted Cruz tweet feed, real-time tweet counters, and market data for Polymarket's tweet-count markets.\n\nAn independent counter polls X every ~60…",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "freemium",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": 79,
        "monthly_usd": 79,
        "headline": "Free tier, then from $79/mo",
        "summary": "Free tier, then from $79/mo. PolyStrike offers a free tier, a $79/month Pro subscription, and AI Agent access at $0.01 per call."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "medium",
      "upvotes": 0
    },
    {
      "agent_id": "prediction_markets",
      "name": "Prediction Markets",
      "url": "https://skipseek.com",
      "short_summary": "Polymarket, Manifold, Metaculus compared: one fair probability per question. No API key needed.",
      "price": {
        "observed": true,
        "billing": "freemium",
        "lowest_monthly_usd": 2.08,
        "monthly_usd": 2.08,
        "headline": "Free tier, then from $2.08/mo",
        "summary": "Free tier, then from $2.08/mo. SkipSeek offers a free plan, monthly Agent through API subscriptions from $49 to $999, and Institutional licensing from $25k per year."
      },
      "evidence_quality": "medium",
      "upvotes": 0
    }
  ],
  "platforms_also_here": [],
  "page_url": "https://agentery.com/market/prediction-markets",
  "summary": {
    "niche": "prediction-markets",
    "sector": "financial-services",
    "pricing_by_provider_type": {
      "headline": "Prices differ by provider type and buyer tier — no blended headline is used. Strongest cohort: MCP servers · Individual median $10/mo (6 providers). See benchmarks_by_provider_type_and_tier for the full matrix.",
      "benchmarks": [
        {
          "provider_type": "mcp",
          "provider_type_label": "MCP servers",
          "buyer_tier": "individual",
          "buyer_tier_label": "Individual",
          "pricing_unit": "flat",
          "pricing_unit_label": "flat monthly",
          "comparable_provider_count": 6,
          "reliability": "medium",
          "median": 10,
          "p25": 10,
          "p75": 10,
          "status": "ok"
        },
        {
          "provider_type": "mcp",
          "provider_type_label": "MCP servers",
          "buyer_tier": "pro",
          "buyer_tier_label": "Pro",
          "pricing_unit": "flat",
          "pricing_unit_label": "flat monthly",
          "comparable_provider_count": 6,
          "reliability": "medium",
          "median": 64,
          "p25": 34,
          "p75": 94,
          "status": "ok"
        },
        {
          "provider_type": "mcp",
          "provider_type_label": "MCP servers",
          "buyer_tier": "enterprise",
          "buyer_tier_label": "Enterprise",
          "pricing_unit": "flat",
          "pricing_unit_label": "flat monthly",
          "comparable_provider_count": 2,
          "reliability": "low",
          "median": null,
          "p25": null,
          "p75": null,
          "status": "observed_offers_only",
          "observed_offers": [
            416.58,
            999
          ]
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "This niche currently has sufficient MCP pricing but insufficient agent pricing."
      ],
      "full_pricing_via": {
        "tool": "price_benchmark",
        "arguments": {
          "niche": "prediction-markets"
        },
        "note": "add provider_type + buyer_tier for a specific cohort"
      }
    },
    "page_url": "https://agentery.com/market/prediction-markets",
    "counts": {
      "listings_with_price_capture": 30,
      "listings_with_observed_public_price": 18,
      "providers_with_numeric_monthly_price_latest_scan": 13,
      "like_for_like_comparable_pairs": 12
    },
    "movement": {
      "d": {
        "published": false,
        "value_pct": null,
        "held_reason": null
      },
      "w": {
        "published": false,
        "value_pct": null,
        "held_reason": null
      },
      "m": {
        "published": true,
        "value_pct": -2.9,
        "driver": "parlay's \"Pro\" $49→$29 (-41%)"
      }
    },
    "pricing_version": "cohorts-1",
    "pricing_status": "ok",
    "pricing_by_tier": [
      {
        "tier": "individual",
        "currency": "USD",
        "period": "month",
        "unit": "flat",
        "median": 10,
        "provider_count": 6,
        "plan_observation_count": 6,
        "data_confidence": 0.46,
        "data_confidence_basis": {
          "provider_component": 0.5,
          "observation_component": 0.3,
          "provider_count": 6,
          "plan_observation_count": 6
        },
        "reliability": "medium",
        "members": [
          {
            "provider": "prediction_markets",
            "usd": 2.08
          },
          {
            "provider": "nephyr_backtest",
            "usd": 10
          },
          {
            "provider": "nephyr_weather",
            "usd": 10
          },
          {
            "provider": "polymarket_mcp",
            "usd": 10
          },
          {
            "provider": "nephyr_risk",
            "usd": 10
          },
          {
            "provider": "criswu20010728_mantis",
            "usd": 29
          }
        ],
        "p25": 10,
        "p75": 10
      },
      {
        "tier": "pro",
        "currency": "USD",
        "period": "month",
        "unit": "flat",
        "median": 49,
        "provider_count": 7,
        "plan_observation_count": 10,
        "data_confidence": 0.57,
        "data_confidence_basis": {
          "provider_component": 0.58,
          "observation_component": 0.5,
          "provider_count": 7,
          "plan_observation_count": 10
        },
        "reliability": "medium",
        "members": [
          {
            "provider": "quant",
            "usd": 14.99
          },
          {
            "provider": "octagon_ai",
            "usd": 29
          },
          {
            "provider": "parlay",
            "usd": 29
          },
          {
            "provider": "rekko_mcp",
            "usd": 49
          },
          {
            "provider": "polystrike",
            "usd": 79
          },
          {
            "provider": "prediction_markets",
            "usd": 99
          },
          {
            "provider": "criswu20010728_mantis",
            "usd": 199
          }
        ],
        "p25": 29,
        "p75": 89
      },
      {
        "tier": "enterprise",
        "currency": "USD",
        "period": "month",
        "unit": "flat",
        "median": 707.79,
        "provider_count": 2,
        "plan_observation_count": 2,
        "data_confidence": 0.15,
        "data_confidence_basis": {
          "provider_component": 0.17,
          "observation_component": 0.1,
          "provider_count": 2,
          "plan_observation_count": 2
        },
        "reliability": "low",
        "members": [
          {
            "provider": "quant",
            "usd": 416.58
          },
          {
            "provider": "prediction_markets",
            "usd": 999
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "pricing_coverage": {
      "listings_with_price_capture": 30,
      "listings_with_observed_public_price": 18,
      "normalized_observations": 18,
      "comparable_providers": 11,
      "strict_cohorts": 3,
      "exclusion_reasons": {
        "ambiguous_cadence": 5,
        "usage_not_monthly": 26,
        "one_time": 6,
        "free_or_zero": 4
      }
    },
    "pricing_note": "Provider-deduped, FX-normalized monthly medians, separated by buyer tier AND billing unit (flat/per_seat/per_user/per_agent) — incompatible units are never blended. Ranges (p25/p75) only at >=5 providers; data_confidence is provider-count-weighted. Usage-metered, promo, range, one-time and ambiguous-cadence plans are excluded.",
    "pricing_excluded_observations": {
      "ambiguous_cadence": 5,
      "usage_not_monthly": 26,
      "one_time": 6,
      "free_or_zero": 4
    },
    "billing_mix": {
      "freemium": 11,
      "free": 3,
      "subscription": 1,
      "usage": 2,
      "one-time": 1
    },
    "free_tier_share": 0.78,
    "top_providers": [
      {
        "agent_id": "musashi",
        "name": "musashi",
        "price": {
          "observed": true,
          "billing": "free",
          "lowest_monthly_usd": null,
          "monthly_usd": null,
          "headline": "Free",
          "summary": "Musashi is currently available for free with no account required, while paid features may be introduced in the future."
        },
        "observed": true
      },
      {
        "agent_id": "nexus_intelligence",
        "name": "Nexus Intelligence",
        "price": {
          "observed": true,
          "billing": "usage",
          "lowest_monthly_usd": null,
          "monthly_usd": null,
          "headline": "Paid (price not published)",
          "summary": "NEXUS AI Agent publishes per-endpoint usage rates ranging from $0.001 to $0.15 USDC, alongside explicitly free endpoints."
        },
        "observed": true
      },
      {
        "agent_id": "parlay",
        "name": "Parlay",
        "price": {
          "observed": true,
          "billing": "freemium",
          "lowest_monthly_usd": 29,
          "monthly_usd": 29,
          "headline": "Free tier, then from $29/mo",
          "summary": "Free tier, then from $29/mo. Parlay offers a permanent free tier with 15 monthly calls and a Pro plan currently listed at $29/month with 150 calls and all six tools."
        },
        "observed": true
      },
      {
        "agent_id": "rekko_mcp",
        "name": "Rekko AI",
        "price": {
          "observed": true,
          "billing": "freemium",
          "lowest_monthly_usd": 49,
          "monthly_usd": 49,
          "headline": "Free tier, then from $49/mo",
          "summary": "Free tier, then from $49/mo. Rekko offers free access, usage-based API calls from $0.01 to $5.00 per call, and a $49/mo Pro plan with volume discounts."
        },
        "observed": true
      },
      {
        "agent_id": "bet_checker",
        "name": "Bet Checker",
        "price": {
          "observed": true,
          "billing": "freemium",
          "lowest_monthly_usd": null,
          "monthly_usd": null,
          "headline": "Free tier + paid plans (price not published)",
          "summary": "NegativeEV offers 10 free bet checks per day, while signing in provides unlimited checks subject to a per-hour pace cap; no paid price is publicly listed."
        },
        "observed": true
      }
    ],
    "suggested_next_calls": [
      {
        "tool": "price_benchmark",
        "arguments": {
          "niche": "prediction-markets"
        },
        "purpose": "full observed price distribution + per-tier medians for this niche"
      },
      {
        "tool": "niche_report",
        "arguments": {
          "niche": "prediction-markets",
          "response_mode": "full"
        },
        "purpose": "the complete report incl. index series and tier decomposition"
      },
      {
        "tool": "suggest_alternatives",
        "arguments": {
          "agent_id": "musashi"
        },
        "purpose": "comparable (optionally cheaper) providers to a named agent"
      },
      {
        "tool": "get_agent_profile",
        "arguments": {
          "agent_id": "musashi"
        },
        "purpose": "full profile, integrations and pricing for one provider"
      }
    ]
  }
}